Integrity framework · 5 Jun 2026 · no vote recommendation

Evidence beats narrative. Arithmetic beats volume.

ArXiv-style resumen público derived from the Central Electoral INFRATEK marco técnico. It defines a verification framework for claims before the June 7 runoff.

Polymarket66 / 22

Kalshi~56

Ipsos valid51.4 / 48.6

Observers5,240+

Fraud proven0

Evidence model

R=f(E,T,M,C)

E: evidence in a primary or institutional source.
T: procedural timing and admissibility.
M: magnitude relative to final margin.
C: arithmetic consistency.

Technical conclusion

Perú 2026 should be read as high uncertainty, not presumed fraud. The correct posture is to wait for actas, quick count, observation and adjudication.

Fast control dashboard

Question	Strong signal	Weak signal	Analytic decision
Is fraud proven?	Acta, case file, JEE/JNE admission, external observer.	Viral video, rumor, leaked poll.	Do not conclude without case evidence.
Can it alter result?	Magnitude above final margin.	Local event without scale.	Compare against final margin.
Is the table valid?	Totals inside component range.	Weighted average outside range.	Correct before interpreting.
Confirma resultado el mercado?	No. El mercado es una señal previa.	Precio tratado como acta.	Actualizar con actas y conteo rapido.

Falsifiable criteria

The evaluation changes only with timely admitted nullities, quick-count divergence outside error, OEA/UE findings capable of changing the result, observed actas above final margin, or primary evidence of coordinated manipulation.