Dani model
Fujimori 62 / Sanchez 38Game-theory composite model. Favorite, not certainty.
Game-theory paper, Jun 572-hour election intelligence room
Peru 2026, live signal board.
Moving stats first: Dani model, market sentiment, public polls, official count status, social radar and every public-safe source behind the numbers.
Latest model pulse62 / 38
Fujimori favorite, Sanchez live. Market confidence is not a result. ONPE/JNE will become the source of truth once official count begins.
Current board
What the room needs to know now
Ipsos / Reuters
Sanchez 43.8 / Keiko 43.2Technical tie. Strongest public signal that the race tightened.
Reuters / Ipsos, Jun 3-4 public reportingPolymarket
Keiko 66 / Sanchez 22Market favors Keiko, but this is probability sentiment, not margin or proof.
Integrity report source pack, Jun 5Official status
No official result yetONPE/JNE remain the source of truth once official count starts.
ONPE/JNE monitoringBloomberg-style live board
The numbers are the product
Dani composite62%
Fujimori favorite, not certainty
Game theory modelSanchez upset band38%Meaningful surprise probability
Game theory modelPolymarket Keiko66%Probability sentiment, not margin
Market snapshotCrisis margin risk15%Margin under 1 point
Scenario modelInteractive graphCandidate signal stack
Source tickerLive links, public data only
Live operating layer
Documents, analysis, sources and social radar in one loop
Public-safe papers, HTML briefs, PNG cards and methodology notes remain stored on the site.
Fresh cuts can update the board, shelf and source room every two hours during the 72h window.
Official, poll, market, media and observer links are visible for fast audit and Dani QC.
Social listening can surface signals, but only verified Red evidence becomes public fact.
Everything public-safe stays browsable
Every uploaded report becomes a short Markdown record and a richer HTML brief. Restricted, embargoed or private files stay out of the public layer.
I can read the same public web surface
The published site becomes the operating surface I can fetch, verify and update: homepage, report links, source room, timestamps and public-safe claims.
Two-hour update rhythm, immediate Red alerts
Normal outputs update in scheduled cuts. Official, observer or reproducible acta-level Red signals can move immediately. Grey stays internal.
Document shelf
Reports, methodology and public-safe election artifacts
Integrity
Integrity Working Paper
Evidence beats narrative; arithmetic beats volume
R=f- Confidence
- public-safe, technical
- Use
- ArXiv-style verification framework: R=f(E,T,M,C), risk dashboard and falsifiable criteria.
R=f
Public sources first. Red requires official, observer or reproducible acta-level evidence. Grey stays out of public claims.
PDF / paper visualizer
Read papers without leaving the intelligence room
HTML briefIntegrity Working Paper
ArXiv-style verification framework: R=f(E,T,M,C), risk dashboard and falsifiable criteria.
Two-hour visual gallery
Follow the election through generated cards
Jun 5, 13:22 ASTLatest Prediction
Current model after Reuters/Ipsos, market signal and internal-safe datapoints.
Open full cardAudio layer
Music and briefings ready for upload
Drop the track and it becomes playable here.
Election audio summaries can sit beside music once generated.
Source room
Public links and watchlist
officialONPE second election pageofficialONPE acta processing updatepollIpsos Peru public researchmarketPolymarket Peru presidency marketmarketKalshi Peru presidency marketmediaAP election coverage
rapid during count
truth sourcedaily + event driven
verification layerpublic-only
pre-election context2h
sentiment, not result2h
source triageradar only
Grey until verifiedEditorial firewall
Sharp, not reckless.
Social listening is a radar, not a verdict. ONPE, JNE, observers and reproducible acta-level evidence outrank viral screenshots, anonymous audio and partisan claims.
Official, observer or reproducible material issue. Can trigger immediate alert.
Specific credible lead. Needs verification before publication as fact.
Viral/noisy claim. Tracked internally, not published as fact.
Social listening
Radar, not verdict
Track claims, narratives, regions, actors, velocity and repetition.
Red requires official, observer or reproducible evidence. Grey is not public fact.
Summaries can appear here; raw scrapes, private chats and unverified claims stay internal.